"Race and Ethnicity in the 2024 Elections" by Craig M. Burnett
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The 2024 presidential election proved to be most interesting, and perhaps somewhat confusing. While voters’ perception of the economy — especially inflation and its lingering effects — likely had the largest single impact on voters, racial and ethnic identities also mattered. In general, as it relates to race and ethnicity, the following conclusions are reasonable: 1) Latino/Hispanic voters have never voted routinely as a bloc, with 2024 suggesting that even more diverse patterns in voting are on the horizon; 2) Black voters, which have typically voted as a bloc, would seem to have voted less as a bloc for Harris in 2024 (turnout may also have played a role here, too, but I don’t dive into that). To understand why requires a (small) amount of knowledge about how statistics work, specifically as it relates to distributions. Distributions are a fancy way of saying “this is how a trait is spread among the population.” While many distributions can describ...